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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 16 December 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 16 December 2023. Hertha BSC vs VfL Osnabrück (Hertha BSC or draw) sits top on 95% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hertha BSC or draw 95%

Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 57%

Championship · England Plymouth or draw 92%

Super League · Switzerland Grasshoppers or draw 92%

Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 90%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 89%

Serie B · Italy Cremonese or draw 87%

League One · England Stevenage or draw 87%

League One · England Lincoln or draw 86%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Standard Liege or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#11

Eredivisie · Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Rodez or draw 85%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%

#13

League Two · England Wrexham or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

#14

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#15

League One · England Oxford United or draw 84%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#16

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#17

League Two · England Doncaster or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%

#18

Ligue 2 · France Auxerre or draw 81%

#19

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#20

League One · England Bolton or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 16 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hertha BSC vs VfL Osnabrück (Hertha BSC or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.