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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 15 December 2023

Tue 12 Wed 13 Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 15 December 2023. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Wehda Club (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) led the list at 94% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 94%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 87%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Bataeh or draw 87%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira or draw 87%

Over 2.5 92% BTTS Yes 82%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 84%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Willem II or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Eredivisie · Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 80%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#10

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#11

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Cambuur or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 77%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

#13

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Dender or draw 77%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

#14

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong Utrecht or draw 75%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%

#15

Serie B · Italy Bari or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#16

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 15 December 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Wehda Club (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.