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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 13 December 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 13 December 2023. Mlada Boleslav vs Karviná (Mlada Boleslav or draw) led the list at 86% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies six of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 86%
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 2 FT
Karviná
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#2 Championship Β· England Cardiff or draw 84%
Cardiff
0 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 53%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 82%
FC Winterthur
2 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 80%
Norwich
3 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
#5 Championship Β· England QPR or draw 79%
QPR
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#6 Championship Β· England Leicester or draw 77%
Leicester
3 : 2 FT
Millwall
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#7 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 75%
Coventry
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#8 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough or draw 75%
Middlesbrough
1 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 13 December 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Mlada Boleslav vs Karviná (Mlada Boleslav or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.