🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 26 September 2023

Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26 Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 26 September 2023. Amiens vs Ajaccio (Amiens or draw) led the list at 88% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · France Amiens or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Amiens Clean Sheet 54%

Super League · Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 85%

Ligue 2 · France Guingamp or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Serie B · Italy Brescia or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 80%

Ligue 2 · France Rodez or draw 79%

Serie B · Italy Ascoli or draw 78%

Serie B · Italy Lecco or draw 78%

#10

Ligue 2 · France Bastia or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Caen or draw 77%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Annecy or draw 77%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#13

Ligue 2 · France Paris FC or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#14

Serie B · Italy Pisa or draw 76%

#15

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 76%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 26 September 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Amiens vs Ajaccio (Amiens or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.