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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 24 September 2023

Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26 Wed 27

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 September 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) led the list at 97% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 97%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 86%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 86%

Eliteserien · Norway Viking or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 84%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

La Liga · Spain Real Betis or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 65% Real Betis Clean Sheet 54%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 83%

#10

Super League · China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Superettan · Sweden Utsikten or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#12

Premier League · Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#13

Challenger Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#14

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 81%

#15

Serie B · Italy Parma or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%

#16

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#17

Super League 1 · Greece PAS Giannina or draw 80%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%

#18

La Liga · Spain Real Sociedad or draw 80%

#19

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#20

Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 24 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.