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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 24 October 2021

Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26 Wed 27

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 October 2021. Hammarby FF vs Ostersunds FK (Hammarby FF or draw) led the list at 93% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 93%

BTTS No 63% Hammarby FF Clean Sheet 59%

Eliteserien · Norway Kristiansund BK or draw 92%

La Liga · Spain Sevilla or draw 88%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 62% Sevilla Clean Sheet 55%

Serie B · Italy Pisa or draw 88%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 87%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 86%

Premier League · Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Werder Bremen or draw 86%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#10

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#11

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 85%

#12

Premier League · Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 84%

#14

Primeira Liga · Portugal Estoril or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#15

Allsvenskan · Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%

#16

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%

#17

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 83%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%

#18

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 82%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#20

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 24 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hammarby FF vs Ostersunds FK (Hammarby FF or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.