Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 22 October 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Friday 22 October 2021. Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock (Lech Poznan or draw) sits top on 94% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
94%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda or draw
93%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman or draw
86%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK or draw
84%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac or draw
81%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
81%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom or draw
81%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
79%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers or draw
79%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM or draw
78%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti or draw
77%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht or draw
76%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
76%
Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 22 October 2021?
15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock (Lech Poznan or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.