Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 16 October 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 16 October 2021. SCR Altach vs Red Bull Salzburg (Red Bull Salzburg or draw) led the list at 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
92%
League Two · England
Forest Green or draw
91%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
90%
Championship · England
Blackburn or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK or draw
86%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
85%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town or draw
85%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough or draw
85%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad or draw
84%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
84%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor or draw
84%
League Two · England
Salford City or draw
84%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
84%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee or draw
84%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw
83%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia or draw
83%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 16 October 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SCR Altach vs Red Bull Salzburg (Red Bull Salzburg or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.