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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 15 October 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 15 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Palestino vs O'Higgins (Palestino or draw) at 84% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino or draw 84%
Palestino v O'Higgins prediction
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 81%
Paris Saint Germain v Angers prediction
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 80%
Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers prediction
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 80%
Hannover 96 v FC Schalke 04 prediction
Win 20%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 79%
Roda v Jong PSV U21 prediction
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 53%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 79%
Deinze v SK Beveren prediction
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 79%
NAC Breda v Jong AZ prediction
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 77%
Excelsior v VVV Venlo prediction
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United or draw 77%
Drogheda United v Longford Town prediction
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw 76%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 76%
Bohemians v Dundalk prediction
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Championship Β· England West Brom or draw 76%
West Brom v Birmingham prediction
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 15 October 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Palestino vs O'Higgins (Palestino or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.