Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 17 October 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 17 October 2021. Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Bodo/Glimt or draw) sits top on 93% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
93%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz or draw
90%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
85%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
84%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc or draw
83%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo or draw
82%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
81%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg or draw
81%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG or draw
81%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta or draw
80%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock or draw
80%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg or draw
80%
Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro or draw
80%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Altay or draw
80%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC or draw
78%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 October 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.