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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 21 April 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

38 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 21 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Chengdu Better City vs Yunnan Yukun at 78% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
1 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0 : 3 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 34%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
3 : 0 FT
Bucheon FC 1995
✓ Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
0 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 1 FT
Yunnan Yukun
✓ Win 67%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
✓ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 2 FT
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
3 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 33%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 34%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
1 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
2 : 1 FT
Grazer AK
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Oxford United
0 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Coventry
5 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Championship · England
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
West Brom
3 : 0 FT
Watford
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Southampton
2 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 3 FT
Millwall
Win 30%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Leicester
2 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Stockport County
0 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Plymouth
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Doncaster
0 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
League One · England
Rotherham
0 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Cambridge United
1 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Cheltenham
1 : 3 FT
Tranmere
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Brighton
3 : 0 FT
Chelsea
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
2 : 3 FT
Real Betis
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
✓ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 21 April 2026?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chengdu Better City vs Yunnan Yukun at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.