Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 4 January 2026

Thu 1 Fri 2 Sat 3 Sun 4 Mon 5 Tue 6 Wed 7

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

45 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 4 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Lorient vs Metz at 79% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand

Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Championship · England

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Championship · England

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

League One · England

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

League One · England

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League Two · England

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier League · England

Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Model Score 2–1 · 8%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · England

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · England

✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Championship · England

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Championship · England

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Championship · England

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Championship · England

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Championship · England

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

League One · England

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

League One · England

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

League One · England

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

League One · England

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

League One · England

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Model Score 0–1 · 11%

Premier League · England

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Ligue 1 · France

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 0–0 · 16%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Model Score 2–1 · 8%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · England

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%

La Liga · Spain

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–2 · 10%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 20%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

La Liga · Spain

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Showing 45 of 45 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 4 January 2026?

45 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lorient vs Metz at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.