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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Thursday 1 January 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 40 fixtures on Thursday 1 January 2026. Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby led the list at 64% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Bristol City
5 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Preston
3 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Watford
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Southampton
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Oxford United
✓ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Doncaster
1 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 0 FT
Luton
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League One · England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Mansfield Town
3 : 0 FT
Bradford
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Northampton
0 : 0 FT
Stockport County
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Port Vale
5 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 17%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 70% Blackpool Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 21%
League One · England
Reading
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Rotherham
0 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 1 FT
Plymouth
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Wycombe
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Barnet
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Cambridge United
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Crewe
4 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 15%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 65%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 0–2 · 10%
League Two · England
Notts County
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Oldham
1 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 3 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
0 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Brentford
0 : 0 FT
Tottenham
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Sunderland
0 : 0 FT
Manchester City
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Thursday 1 January 2026?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby at 64% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.