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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 18 April 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

77 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 18 April 2025. Birmingham vs Crawley Town led the list at 78% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
3 : 0 FT
Bahia
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 3 FT
Oleksandria
Win 25%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Championship · England
Derby
0 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
3 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Blackburn
4 : 1 FT
Millwall
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
Sunderland
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Coventry
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
Plymouth
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Norwich
3 : 5 FT
Portsmouth
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Preston
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
Hull City
✓ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 19%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 71% Burnley Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 21%
League One · England
Birmingham
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 3–0 · 9%
League One · England
Bolton
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 32%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Huddersfield
1 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
4 : 3 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Peterborough
1 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Reading
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Rotherham
3 : 3 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 21%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 19%
League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 3 FT
Blackpool
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Wrexham
1 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 68% Wrexham Clean Sheet 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 FT
Chesterfield
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Bromley
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Carlisle
3 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Colchester
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 FT
Barrow
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Grimsby
0 : 4 FT
Swindon Town
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 2 FT
Accrington ST
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 3 FT
Doncaster
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
0 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 29%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
1 : 3 FT
Damac
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
5 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 0 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Famalicao
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
2 : 3 FT
Konyaspor
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
2 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 3 FT
Martigues
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
3 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
2 : 0 FT
Grenoble
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
2 : 1 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 25%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 4 FT
Telstar
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 4 FT
Jong AZ
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
5 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
2 : 1 FT
RWDM
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
2 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
0 : 4 FT
SK Beveren
Win 32%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 2 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 24%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
1 : 3 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 4 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
1 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
2 : 1 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Cork City
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
2 : 3 FT
Derry City
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
0 : 4 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Oxford United
0 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 1 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 77 of 77 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 18 April 2025?

77 fixtures met the criteria, led by Birmingham vs Crawley Town at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.