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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Monday 21 April 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

66 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 21 April 2025. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Shabab led the list at 77% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 19%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
✓ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Nublense
0 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
2 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
4 : 0 FT
Umeå FC
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 0 FT
Gais
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
0 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 37%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Bohemians
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Championship · England
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Preston
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Leeds
6 : 0 FT
Stoke City
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Championship · England
Luton
3 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Championship · England
Millwall
3 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Coventry
✓ Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Portsmouth
1 : 0 FT
Watford
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Sunderland
0 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
League One · England
Blackpool
1 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 36%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Lincoln
4 : 2 FT
Bolton
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 5 FT
Reading
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Northampton
4 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
League One · England
Wycombe
0 : 4 FT
Charlton
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
1 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Chesterfield
3 : 3 FT
Bradford
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Doncaster
3 : 0 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 71%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
3 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Morecambe
1 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Notts County
1 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Port Vale
2 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
5 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
2 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
✓ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 0 FT
FC Sion
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
2 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bryne
3 : 1 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
2 : 5 FT
Viking
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
2 : 1 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 2 FT
Galway United
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Burnley
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
2 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 2 FT
Al-Ettifaq
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
✓ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
1 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 42%
Draw 21%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
1 : 3 FT
Real Betis
Win 36%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 66 of 66 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 21 April 2025?

66 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Shabab at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.