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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 29 December 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 60 fixtures on Sunday 29 December 2024. Tottenham vs Wolves sits top on 87% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 33%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Preston
3 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League One · England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Rotherham
1 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Bromley
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
2 : 0 FT
Cesena
✓ Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Carrarese Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 21%
Serie B · Italy
Mantova
0 : 2 FT
Reggiana
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
0 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Leicester
0 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
2 : 1 FT
Southampton
✓ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · England
Everton
0 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
2 : 2 FT
Wolves
Win 48%
Draw 20%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 84%
✓ Model Score 2–2 · 7%
Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Bristol City
3 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Coventry
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Oxford United
2 : 0 FT
Plymouth
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 60%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 0 FT
Sunderland
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Swansea
2 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Birmingham
0 : 0 FT
Blackpool
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Bolton
3 : 0 FT
Lincoln
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Exeter City
4 : 4 FT
Crawley Town
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Huddersfield
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Peterborough
1 : 3 FT
Barnsley
Win 31%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
League One · England
Reading
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Stevenage
3 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Wigan
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Bradford
2 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Cheltenham
3 : 5 FT
Notts County
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Grimsby
3 : 0 FT
Port Vale
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 0 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 1 FT
Nacional
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
2 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
2 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
2 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
West Ham
0 : 5 FT
Liverpool
Win 23%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Championship · England
Derby
0 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 2 FT
Casa Pia
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 33%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% AC Milan Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 FT
Burnley
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 0 FT
Benfica
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 60 of 60 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 29 December 2024?

60 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tottenham vs Wolves at 87% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.