Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 1 January 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 33 fixtures on Wednesday 1 January 2025. Brentford vs Arsenal sits top on 77% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
QPR
3 : 1 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 65% Millwall Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Championship Β· England
Burnley
0 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Burnley Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 21%
Championship Β· England
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 64% Leeds Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Championship Β· England
Luton
0 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
4 : 0 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
4 : 2 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
3 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Burton Albion
2 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
1 : 3 FT
Reading
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Northampton
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
3 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Chesterfield
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Crewe
3 : 2 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League Two Β· England
Doncaster
2 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Morecambe
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 30%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
3 : 2 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Brentford
1 : 3 FT
Arsenal
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Sunderland
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 1 January 2025?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brentford vs Arsenal at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.