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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 28 December 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Saturday 28 December 2024. Cagliari vs Inter sits top on 65% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 31%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 71%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 21%
Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
2 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
AVS
1 : 1 FT
Estrela
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 3 FT
Inter
Win 9%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 76%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
Moreirense
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
4 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%

Showing 7 of 7 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 28 December 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Cagliari vs Inter at 65% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.