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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 21 December 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

73 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 21 December 2024. Brentford vs Nottingham Forest sits top on 79% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

2. Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
5 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Preußen Münster
0 : 0 FT
SSV Ulm 1846
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Manchester City
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 25%
Draw 35%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
4 : 1 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 0 FT
Stoke City
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Doncaster
3 : 1 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
0 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
0 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
1 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 35%
Draw 38%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
3 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 38%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Palermo
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
4 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
5 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Brentford
0 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Premier League Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 4 FT
Newcastle
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Championship Β· England
Burnley
2 : 1 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Leeds
4 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Leeds Clean Sheet 61%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Championship Β· England
Plymouth
3 : 3 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Championship Β· England
QPR
2 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Sunderland
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 4 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League One Β· England
Northampton
0 : 5 FT
Charlton
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League One Β· England
Wigan
2 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Chesterfield
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Morecambe
0 : 2 FT
Bromley
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
6 : 3 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Bradford
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 0 FT
Carlisle
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
3 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
Liège
Win 31%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
2 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 2 FT
Farense
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
0 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
3 : 1 FT
Reggiana
Win 24%
Draw 39%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
1 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
1 : 3 FT
Antwerp
Win 26%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
1 : 5 FT
Arsenal
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
5 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 0 FT
AVS
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 FT
Twente
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
0 : 0 FT
RWDM
Win 51%
Draw 20%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
: CANC
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 73 of 73 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 21 December 2024?

73 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brentford vs Nottingham Forest at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.