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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 5 August 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 83 fixtures on Saturday 5 August 2023. BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur sits top on 74% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 21%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
3 : 0 FT
Forge
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 2 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
1 : 2 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
2 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 25%
Draw 37%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
5 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
4 : 2 FT
Mariehamn
✓ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · Ukraine
Minai
0 : 3 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 2 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
0 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
0 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
0 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 31%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Gefle IF
2 : 0 FT
IK brage
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
5 : 2 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 2 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
0 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Stoke City
4 : 1 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Watford
4 : 0 FT
QPR
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Barnsley
7 : 0 FT
Port Vale
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Blackpool
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Bolton
3 : 0 FT
Lincoln
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cambridge United
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Charlton
1 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Derby
1 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Northampton
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Reading
0 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 26%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Wycombe
0 : 3 FT
Exeter City
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
3 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
✓ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Crewe
2 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 27%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Grimsby
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Morecambe
2 : 1 FT
Walsall
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Stockport County
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
5 : 1 FT
Notts County
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Wrexham
3 : 5 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin
1 : 4 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
0 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
4 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 3 FT
Valerenga
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
5 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
5 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
2 : 0 FT
Charleroi
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Magallanes
1 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
1 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
1 : 4 FT
Guingamp
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
1 : 4 FT
Auxerre
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 0 FT
Angers
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
0 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
2 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Concarneau
0 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
4 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
2 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
3 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
3 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Santos
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
2 : 2 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Goias
1 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
✓ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
2 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 40%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 69% Internacional Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 2 FT
A. Italiano
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 83 of 83 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 5 August 2023?

83 fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.