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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 28 May 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

78 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 May 2023. Leeds vs Tottenham led the list at 79% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

2. Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Goias
✓ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
✓ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
0 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 3 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 36%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 29%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
3 : 2 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 52%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
4 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 5 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
3 : 1 FT
Ajax
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
3 : 2 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 2 FT
Excelsior
✓ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
BTTS No 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
✓ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67% Orebro SK Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
2 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 27%
Draw 34%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
0 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 8%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 5 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 19%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 63%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 3 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
4 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
✓ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
2 : 4 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 15%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
3 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
0 : 2 FT
Teplice
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
2 : 4 FT
Pardubice
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
0 : 0 FT
Zlin
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
5 : 0 FT
Wolves
✓ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Brighton
✓ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Brentford
1 : 0 FT
Manchester City
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Leeds
1 : 4 FT
Tottenham
Win 36%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 1–2 · 7%
Premier League · England
Leicester
2 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
2 : 1 FT
Fulham
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · England
Southampton
4 : 4 FT
Liverpool
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
3 : 2 FT
Cremonese
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
3 : 2 FT
Akhmat
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 3 FT
Genk
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
2 : 1 FT
Osasuna
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Almeria
0 : 0 FT
Valladolid
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
1 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
2 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
2 : 0 FT
Fluminense
✓ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
2 : 0 FT
Bahia
✓ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
1 : 0 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 20%
Draw 34%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 0 FT
Santos
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Showing 78 of 78 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 28 May 2023?

78 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Tottenham at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.