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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 27 May 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 81 fixtures on Saturday 27 May 2023. Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 sits top on 82% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 0 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
2 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
4 : 1 FT
IK brage
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
0 : 3 FT
Ural
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 11%
Draw 22%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 2 FT
Halmstad
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
3 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
3 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
2 : 0 FT
Skövde AIK
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
3 : 2 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
0 : 4 FT
Torino
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
4 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
✓ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
3 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Torpedo Moskva
1 : 3 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
0 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
4 : 0 FT
Slovácko
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 1 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
3 : 1 FT
Maritimo
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
1 : 4 FT
Boavista
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC
2 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
2 : 0 FT
Ried
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
3 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
✓ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 67% Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
1 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
✓ Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 3 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
1 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 1 FT
AS Roma
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
0 : 0 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
1 : 1 FT
Zenit
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 3 FT
Gent
Win 30%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
0 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 4 FT
NAC Breda
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
2 : 2 FT
Al-Adalah
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 3 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
0 : 3 FT
Al Taawon
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 26%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 48%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 13%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
3 : 2 FT
Atalanta
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 4 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
2 : 3 FT
Nice
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
3 : 0 FT
Reims
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
1 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 57%
✓ Model Score 3–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Monaco
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 2 FT
Gremio
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
2 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
3 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 1 FT
Coritiba
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 81 of 81 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 27 May 2023?

81 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.