Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 5 March 2023

Thu 2 Fri 3 Sat 4 Sun 5 Mon 6 Tue 7 Wed 8

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

78 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 5 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Waalwijk vs PSV Eindhoven at 69% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

K League 1 · South-Korea

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

K League 1 · South-Korea

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 11%

Premier League · Russia

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Buriram United Clean Sheet 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–2 · 10%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Eintracht Braunschweig

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 0–1 · 13%

La Liga · Spain

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 0–0 · 15%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · Switzerland

Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Bundesliga · Austria

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Bundesliga · Austria

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · Russia

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Premier League · England

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Nottingham Forest Clean Sheet 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 18%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Serie B · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 68%

Model Score 0–0 · 20%

Serie B · Italy

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 14%

Serie B · Italy

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%

Model Score 0–0 · 18%

Super League 1 · Greece

✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 61%

Model Score 2–0 · 16%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Antwerp Clean Sheet 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Super League 1 · Greece

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 14%

La Liga · Spain

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 64%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 21%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Super League 1 · Greece

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Super League · Switzerland

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Super League · Switzerland

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Bundesliga · Austria

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic

Model Score 0–1 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier League · England

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Premier League · Russia

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Süper Lig · Turkey

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 0–1 · 10%

La Liga · Spain

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League 1 · Greece

Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Model Score 0–1 · 18%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Super League 1 · Greece

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ PAOK Clean Sheet 59%

Model Score 1–0 · 21%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 0–2 · 10%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%

La Liga · Spain

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ SC Braga Clean Sheet 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 18%

Primera División · Chile

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 78 of 78 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 5 March 2023?

78 fixtures met the criteria, led by Waalwijk vs PSV Eindhoven at 69% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.