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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 3 March 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 37 fixtures on Friday 3 March 2023. PEC Zwolle vs Den Bosch led the list at 76% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
0 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Khimki
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
2 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 32%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 1 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 29%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 51%
Draw 20%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
13 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 0 FT
Arouca
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
1 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 0 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
5 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
0 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
3 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
4 : 0 FT
UCD
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
5 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Cadiz
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
3 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
2 : 1 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
1 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 3 March 2023?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Den Bosch at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.