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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Monday 26 December 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

68 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 26 December 2022. Club Brugge KV vs OH Leuven led the list at 70% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Jupiler Pro League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
1 : 2 FT
Al-Raed
Win 30%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
4 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Watford
0 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · England
Brentford
2 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Sunderland
2 : 1 FT
Blackburn
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
0 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 26%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Benevento
0 : 2 FT
Perugia
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
2 : 0 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Como
2 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Spal
0 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 34%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 2 FT
Modena
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 1 FT
Al Taee
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
0 : 3 FT
Fulham
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 2 FT
Wolves
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · England
Leicester
0 : 3 FT
Newcastle
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 3 FT
Brighton
Win 35%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Bristol City
0 : 2 FT
West Brom
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
4 : 1 FT
Wigan
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Preston
1 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Rotherham
2 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1 FT
Coventry
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Accrington ST
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League One · England
Burton Albion
3 : 0 FT
Lincoln
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cambridge United
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
League One · England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Cheltenham
0 : 1 FT
Plymouth
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 25%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
League One · England
Ipswich
3 : 0 FT
Oxford United
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League Two · England
Carlisle
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
1 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 30%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
3 : 2 FT
Grimsby
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
1 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
League Two · England
Tranmere
3 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 0 FT
Oostende
✓ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Cardiff
0 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 0 FT
Genk
Win 10%
Draw 16%
Win 74%
Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
1 : 3 FT
Liverpool
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
1 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Luton
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
3 : 1 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
2 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Metz
0 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
1 : 0 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Caen
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
5 : 0 FT
Laval
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Nimes
1 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 68 of 68 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 26 December 2022?

68 fixtures met the criteria, led by Club Brugge KV vs OH Leuven at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.