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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 7 October 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

43 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 7 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Roda vs VVV Venlo at 74% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Avai
1 : 2 FT
Botafogo
Win 35%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
1 : 2 FT
Metal Kharkiv
Win 34%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0 FT
Inhulets
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
2 : 1 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
4 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
3 : 3 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 36%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 3 FT
Waalwijk
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 69%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
4 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
3 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 2 FT
Telstar
Win 27%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
4 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
0 : 3 FT
SK Beveren
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
QPR
2 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 2 FT
Valencia
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
0 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%

Showing 43 of 43 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 7 October 2022?

43 fixtures met the criteria, led by Roda vs VVV Venlo at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.