Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Radomiak Radom – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Gornik Zabrze at 46%, yet other data sources diverge — this Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Radomiak Radom make the trip to Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla to face Gornik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 31. The match kicks off on Friday 29 April 2022 at 19:30 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Gornik Zabrze have collected 0.90 PPG across 10 Ekstraklasa outings this season: 2W 3D 5L. Last five: D L L L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.80 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone.
Gornik Zabrze's form when playing at home: 3W 4D 3L across 10 games at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla this term (1.30 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Radomiak Radom (all games): 1W 4D 5L across 10 Ekstraklasa outings this term — 0.70 points per game. Last five: D D D L L. Their scoring rate of 0.70 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
Radomiak Radom's form when playing away from home: 4W 3D 3L across 10 road games this term (1.50 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Their away PPG of 1.50 exceeds their overall 0.70 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
A near-identical PPG reading — 0.90 for Gornik Zabrze, 0.70 for Radomiak Radom — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
Trading & In-Play
Gornik Zabrze — key trading statistics (30 games, 15 at home): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 53% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
Radomiak Radom — key trading statistics (30 games, 15 at away): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Gornik Zabrze 70% and Radomiak Radom 53% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Gornik Zabrze 63% | Radomiak Radom 37%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Gornik Zabrze 1.36 xG and Radomiak Radom 0.98 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Gornik Zabrze attack 1.035 / defence 1.254 | Radomiak Radom attack 0.638 / defence 1.241. League average goals — home 1.059 / away 1.221. Radomiak Radom bring a strong defensive rating of 1.241 — this is suppressing Gornik Zabrze's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 30 Gornik Zabrze games / 30 Radomiak Radom games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Gornik Zabrze 46% | Draw 27% | Radomiak Radom 27%. Fair-value odds: Gornik Zabrze 2.17 | Draw 3.70 | Radomiak Radom 3.70. Gornik Zabrze hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (27%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 41% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 2.34. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 59% — total xG of 2.34 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Gornik Zabrze as the most likely outcome at 46% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 27% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Gornik Zabrze if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.34 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 41% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 46% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Gornik Zabrze 70% | Radomiak Radom 40%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom | Competition: Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 31 | Venue: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla • Kick-off: Friday 29 Apr 2022, 19:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Gornik Zabrze 46% | Draw 27% | Radomiak Radom 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 41% | BTTS 46% | xG Gornik Zabrze 1.36 / Radomiak Radom 0.98 • Poisson strength factors: Gornik Zabrze attack 1.035 / def 1.254 | Radomiak Radom attack 0.638 / def 1.241 | league avg home 1.059 / away 1.221 • Poisson stance: Gornik Zabrze (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.36
Gornik Zabrze xG
Expected Goals
0.98
Radomiak Radom xG
46%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
41%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom kick off?
Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom kicked off at 19:30 on Friday 29 April 2022 at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
What was the final score in Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?
Gornik Zabrze 0 - 0 Radomiak Radom.
Where is Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom being played?
The match is being played at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
What competition is Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom part of?
Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom is a Regular Season - 31 fixture in the Ekstraklasa (Poland).
Who is favourite to win Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?
Our statistical model gives Gornik Zabrze a 46% chance of winning, Radomiak Radom a 27% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Gornik Zabrze the favourite.
Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?
Our model estimates a 46% probability that both Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom will score (BTTS).
Will Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 41%.
What is the head-to-head record between Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom in?
Gornik Zabrze (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.80 | L5 D-L-L-L-W. Radomiak Radom (all comps): 1W-4D-5L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.40 | L5 D-D-D-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from Gornik Zabrze's attack rating (1.03) and Radomiak Radom's defence rating (1.24), the model arrives at 1.36 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Radomiak Radom's attack (0.64x) against Gornik Zabrze's defence (1.25x) — and the away total comes out at 0.98.
These ratings are built from 30/30 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.5%. Close behind: 1-0 (11.5%), 0-0 (11.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Gornik Zabrze Win
46%
2.19
27%
3.65
27%
3.71
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
0 – 0
9.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.36
Gornik Zabrze xG
Total xG
2.34
0.98
Radomiak Radom xG
2.19
46%
Home win
3.65
27%
Draw
3.71
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.16
54%
BTTS No
1.86
Clean Sheet
38%
2.66
26%
3.90
Win to Nil
17%
5.82
7%
14.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.7 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.1 | 12.8 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.5%.
How many goals are Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom expected to score?
The model projects 1.36 expected goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.98 for Radomiak Radom, a combined total of 2.34.
How confident is the prediction model for Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Gornik Zabrze's recent record stands at 11W 7D 12L from 30 games, a 1.33 PPG return, with D-L-L-L-W in the last five.
Radomiak Radom, meanwhile, have gone 10W 13D 7L across 30 games — 1.43 PPG, with D-D-D-L-L in their last five.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.33 PPG for Gornik Zabrze against 1.43 for Radomiak Radom. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, Gornik Zabrze have managed 6W 4D 5L from 15 games — 1.47 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Radomiak Radom's away record stands at 4W 6D 5L across 15 trips, a 1.20 PPG haul.
Attack vs Defence
Gornik Zabrze are averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game recently; Radomiak Radom are on 1.20 scored and 1.03 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Gornik Zabrze have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games.
Last 30 Results — Ekstraklasa
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Gornik Zabrze
Current Season
Radomiak Radom
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom in coming into this match?
Gornik Zabrze have gone 11W 7D 12L in their last 30 games (1.33 PPG), while Radomiak Radom have gone 10W 13D 7L in their last 30 (1.43 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Gornik Zabrze at home or Radomiak Radom away?
Gornik Zabrze's home record (1.47 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Gornik Zabrze at home: 1.47 PPG; Radomiak Radom away: 1.20 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to April 2022 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Ekstraklasa. The two were last together as recently as 8 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: Gornik Zabrze have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Radomiak Radom won 4-0 on 28 Nov 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Gornik Zabrze have gone 2W 2D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Radomiak Radom — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
5
Gornik Zabrze
3
Draws
2
Radomiak Radom
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom?
From 10 meetings on record, Gornik Zabrze have won 5, Radomiak Radom have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom last play each other?
They last met on 8 August 2026, when Radomiak Radom 1-3 Gornik Zabrze.
Who has won more matches between Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom?
Gornik Zabrze have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Gornik Zabrze are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time.
Radomiak Radom are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Gornik Zabrze 60%, Radomiak Radom 40% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 53% (Gornik Zabrze) and 40% (Radomiak Radom).
On the defensive side: Radomiak Radom in 33%; Radomiak Radom in 40%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Gornik Zabrze home games / Radomiak Radom away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Gornik Zabrze play Radomiak Radom?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 60% of Gornik Zabrze's recent matches and 40% of Radomiak Radom's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 53% of Gornik Zabrze's recent games and 40% of Radomiak Radom's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom tend to score early?
Gornik Zabrze have had a goal before half-time in 67% of their recent matches, Radomiak Radom in 80% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Gornik Zabrze's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Regular Season - 31, as Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom drew 0-0 in the Ekstraklasa. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Gornik Zabrze 1.36 xG and Radomiak Radom 0.98 xG, a combined 2.34. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Gornik Zabrze fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Radomiak Radom landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Gornik Zabrze attack 1.03 / defence 1.25 against Radomiak Radom attack 0.64 / defence 1.24, drawn from 30/30 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Gornik Zabrze 46% | Draw 27% | Radomiak Radom 27%, with Gornik Zabrze to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Gornik Zabrze 63%, Radomiak Radom 37%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Gornik Zabrze's trading profile (30 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did not.
Radomiak Radom's trading profile (30 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Gornik Zabrze 1.33 PPG, Radomiak Radom 1.43 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Gornik Zabrze (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.47 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.27 average — tighter than their form line. Radomiak Radom (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.13 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.