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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 21 March 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 21 March 2026. Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Volendam led the list at 53% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 44%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#2 League One Β· England
Lincoln
3 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 League Two Β· England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 3 FT
Barnet
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
4 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 2 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 13%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 66%
BTTS No 55%
#9 League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
4 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 2 FT
Torino
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#12 League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Championship Β· England
Charlton
0 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 20%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
4 : 0 FT
Liège
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
BTTS No 53%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
3 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
Baltika
4 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#19 League Two Β· England
Bromley
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#20 Championship Β· England
Southampton
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 21 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Volendam at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.