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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 22 March 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 March 2026. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Larisa sits top on 59% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 0 FT
Larisa
Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Alverca
1 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 15%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 63%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 67%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 28%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 11%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Como
5 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
1 : 0 FT
Mirassol
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
5 : 5 FT
Genk
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 1 FT
Avellino
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 0 FT
Rubin
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
2 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 22 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Larisa at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.