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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 11 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 January 2026. Lecce vs Parma sits top on 46% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 27%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 37%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#3 Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
4 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Levante
1 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Padova
2 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#7 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
3 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
✓ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
3 : 3 FT
Santa Clara
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#14 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 53%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Mantova
1 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
3 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Tondela
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
8 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
0 : 1 FT
Ayutthaya FC
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 53%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 11 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lecce vs Parma at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.