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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 23 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 23 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Taee at 47% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al Taee
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 11%
Draw 22%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
0 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
4 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#6 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
0 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
2 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#9 Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
Utsikten
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
2 : 1 FT
Oddevold
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
2 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
2 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
3 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 23 May 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Taee at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.