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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 21 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Tuesday 21 May 2024. FC Basel 1893 vs Yverdon Sport sits top on 45% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 21%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 28%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
#2 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
1 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 18%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#3 Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
0 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#5 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 2 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#6 Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
#8 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 4 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 12%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
0 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 26%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 49%
#12 Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
✓ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 21 May 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Basel 1893 vs Yverdon Sport at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.