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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 25 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 25 May 2024. Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce led the list at 53% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 38%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62% Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
2 : 0 FT
Akhmat
Win 26%
Draw 35%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
2 : 0 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
2 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 3 FT
Salernitana
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
1 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 62%
#13 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
2 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 3 FT
Oleksandria
Win 29%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
3 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
2 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
0 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
3 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
2 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 25 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.