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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 14 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Tuesday 14 May 2024. Real Madrid vs Alaves sits top on 57% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
5 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
2 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
2 : 0 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
0 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 0 FT
Hatta SC
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 67%
Draw 16%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 74%
#15 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
3 : 3 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 0 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 16 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 14 May 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Alaves at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.