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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 15 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 15 May 2024. Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon led the list at 55% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 55%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
0 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
0 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
2 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 1 FT
Servette FC
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
3 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
6 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 3 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
3 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
2 : 4 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
0 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Plzen
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
4 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#17 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
1 : 2 FT
Chelsea
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 0 FT
AEK Athens FC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 2 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 15 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.