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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 15 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 15 March 2024. Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava sits top on 52% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 4 FT
Willem II
Win 14%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 61%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 25%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Osnabrück
0 : 4 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
4 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 5 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
0 : 4 FT
Al Ain
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 15 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.