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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 12 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 12 March 2024. Lincoln vs Cambridge United sits top on 50% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Lincoln
6 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 1 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#3 League One Β· England
Carlisle
2 : 3 FT
Barnsley
Win 9%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 76%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#4 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 League Two Β· England
Bradford
0 : 2 FT
Forest Green
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#8 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Port Vale
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 League One Β· England
Northampton
0 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 League Two Β· England
Wrexham
0 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 League One Β· England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
1 : 2 FT
Accrington ST
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 League One Β· England
Bolton
5 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#16 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
0 : 3 FT
Exeter City
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
0 : 2 FT
Cobreloa
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 12 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lincoln vs Cambridge United at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.