Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 28 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 28 February 2024. AEK Athens FC vs PAS Giannina led the list at 45% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League 1 supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 46%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
4 : 2 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
1 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 11%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 2 FT
Feralpisalo
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
4 : 0 FT
Atalanta
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 3 FT
Kifisia
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 6 FT
Napoli
Win 32%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
3 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
3 : 1 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
2 : 0 FT
Cittadella
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
2 : 2 FT
Modena
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 28 February 2024?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs PAS Giannina at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.