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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 4 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 4 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to OFI vs Kifisia at 50% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
1 : 2 FT
Kifisia
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Salernitana
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
4 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
2 : 3 FT
Toulouse
Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
4 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 55%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
1 : 4 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
3 : 1 FT
Lazio
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
1 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 29%
Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#16 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
0 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 4 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by OFI vs Kifisia at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.