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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 2 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 2 February 2024. Athletic Club vs Mallorca sits top on 46% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 21%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
4 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
6 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
0 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 22%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
3 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
3 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 20%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
0 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
0 : 1 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 1 FT
Deinze
Win 27%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 2 FT
SV Wehen
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
3 : 0 FT
Bari
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 2 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Athletic Club vs Mallorca at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.