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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 3 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 3 February 2024. FC Porto vs Rio Ave led the list at 53% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
0 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
1 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
4 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#4 Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
4 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
0 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 19%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 35%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
BTTS No 53%
#8 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
0 : 5 FT
Leicester
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 10%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 72%
Over 2.5 62%
#10 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
3 : 2 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#11 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#12 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
1 : 1 FT
Las Palmas
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
0 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 25%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 League One Β· England
Exeter City
0 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#20 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 3 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Rio Ave at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.