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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 30 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 30 August 2022. Sheffield Utd vs Reading led the list at 56% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
4 : 0 FT
Reading
✓ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Monza
✓ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
4 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 28%
Draw 38%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
3 : 2 FT
Nimes
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#6 Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
3 : 2 FT
Pacos Ferreira
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
4 : 0 FT
Juventude
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Cremonese
✓ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#12 Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
5 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Niort
0 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
1 : 2 FT
Sochaux
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#17 Championship · England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
0 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 1 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 0 FT
AC Milan
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 30 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Utd vs Reading at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.