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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 29 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 August 2022. Vitória SC vs Casa Pia led the list at 49% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Dundalk
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
2 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 23%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#6 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
2 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Como
0 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
0 : 4 FT
Athletic Club
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
2 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 60%
#14 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
Willem II
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 3 FT
A. Italiano
Win 38%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 29 August 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vitória SC vs Casa Pia at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.