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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 27 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Carlisle vs Gillingham at 57% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Carlisle Clean Sheet 57%
#2 League One Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 2 FT
Barnsley
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 58%
#3 Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou R&F
1 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 12%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 65%
BTTS No 56%
#5 League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
9 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 League Two Β· England
Bradford
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 0 FT
Preston
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#9 Championship Β· England
Wigan
1 : 5 FT
Burnley
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
0 : 2 FT
Rodez
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
1 : 0 FT
Avai
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#13 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
4 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#14 League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#15 League One Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 0 FT
Bolton
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
2 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
4 : 0 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#18 Championship Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
0 : 2 FT
Chaves
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#20 Championship Β· England
Watford
2 : 3 FT
QPR
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 27 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Carlisle vs Gillingham at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.