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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 28 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 28 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK at 57% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 64% Lillestrom Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 21%
Draw 38%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 73% ✓ Mjallby AIF Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 36%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 74%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
3 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%
#5 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
0 : 4 FT
Zenit
Win 23%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
4 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
4 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 2 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
1 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#17 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 6 FT
SC Braga
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
2 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 28 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.