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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 17 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 17 August 2021. Valour vs Pacific FC sits top on 61% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
0 : 2 FT
Pacific FC
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 71% Valour Clean Sheet 61%
#2 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 28%
Draw 34%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
#3 Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 3 FT
Stoke City
Win 24%
Draw 42%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#4 League Two · England
Port Vale
0 : 0 FT
Carlisle
Win 28%
Draw 34%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#5 League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 2 FT
Forest Green
Win 25%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#6 League One · England
Morecambe
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 League One · England
Portsmouth
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#9 League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#10 League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Oldham
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#11 Championship · England
Blackpool
0 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 23%
Draw 38%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 League One · England
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 0 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 League Two · England
Crawley Town
2 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#16 League One · England
Plymouth
1 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#17 League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 League Two · England
Bradford
4 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#19 Serie A · Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
1 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#20 Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 2 FT
Fulham
Win 16%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 17 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Valour vs Pacific FC at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.