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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 20 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 20 August 2021. Daegu FC vs Gwangju FC led the list at 53% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 38%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%
#2 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
1 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 16%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 60%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
2 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Al Taee
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
2 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
✓ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 4 FT
Roda
Win 17%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 58%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#8 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
4 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
2 : 1 FT
Abha
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 17%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
2 : 1 FT
Famalicao
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#16 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 52%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 30%
✓ Draw 40%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 58%
#19 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
4 : 1 FT
Longford Town
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#20 Premier Division · Ireland
Finn Harps
3 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 20 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Daegu FC vs Gwangju FC at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.