Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 14 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 14 August 2021. Fortuna Sittard vs Twente led the list at 70% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 48%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 13%
Draw 36%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 85% BTTS No 81% Twente Clean Sheet 70%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
0 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 20%
Draw 51%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 95% ✓ BTTS No 88% ✓ PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 70%
#3 Premier League · England
Burnley
1 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Burnley Clean Sheet 61%
#4 Premier League · England
Chelsea
3 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
✓ Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Chelsea Clean Sheet 61%
#5 Premier League · England
Everton
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
✓ Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Everton Clean Sheet 61%
#6 Premier League · England
Leicester
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
✓ Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Leicester Clean Sheet 61%
#7 Premier League · England
Watford
3 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Watford Clean Sheet 61%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 19%
Draw 35%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 74% NEC Nijmegen Clean Sheet 59%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 4 FT
Real Madrid
Win 28%
Draw 46%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 84% BTTS No 72%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
0 : 0 FT
Espanyol
Win 28%
✓ Draw 46%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
2 : 1 FT
Tondela
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
1 : 1 FT
Levante
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
#15 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
3 : 1 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Arouca
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
Win 16%
Draw 35%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#18 League Two · England
Barrow
3 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
✓ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%
#19 League Two · England
Bradford
2 : 1 FT
Oldham
✓ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%
#20 League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Stevenage
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 14 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fortuna Sittard vs Twente at 70% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.