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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 18 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 18 August 2021. FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC led the list at 50% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 25%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 0 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#3 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
0 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 21%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
1 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 30%
Draw 41%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 60%
#6 Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 19%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 Championship Β· England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 3 FT
QPR
Win 20%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Championship Β· England
West Brom
4 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 18 August 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.