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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 4 November 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 4 November 2023. WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg sits top on 72% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 49%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the away win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 11%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 72%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
0 : 6 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 13%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 3 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 62%
BTTS No 54%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 0 FT
Palermo
Win 14%
Draw 25%
Win 62%
#8 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
2 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
1 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 66% Tianjin Teda Clean Sheet 56%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Osnabrück
1 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 22%
Draw 21%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
0 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
0 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 19%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
0 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 27%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Wolfsberger AC
4 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia
Baltika
0 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 4 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg at 72% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.